41.8F
Current conditions from King Hill
Updated every 5 minutes
 
  Thursday March 28, 2024

 

NWS Area Forecast Discussion


Current Report   Previous reports > 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS61 KBTV 281118
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
718 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
As a weak cold front slowly crosses the region, scattered to
numerous rain showers will continue over portions of eastern and
southern Vermont today, and taper off tonight. Dry weather is
expected for Friday along with gusty northwesterly winds. Tranquil
conditions follow for the weekend into early next week, with rain
and snow showers likely Tuesday through Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 718 AM EDT Thursday...Minor updated made to the forecast
for the next few hours, mainly to lower PoPs through mid-morning
as steady rain has shifted east of the Connecticut River.
Upstream though, another wave of precipitation is on track to
move back into south and eastern Vermont by noon, which the
previous forecast has covered. Areas of fog will likely continue
across eastern Vermont as well until rain arrives reducing
visibility below 1 mile in some areas.

Previous Discussion...Vertically stacked low pressure over
central Ontario moving ever so slowly northeast continues to also
every so slowly push a weak cold front through the region this
morning. Over the past 12 hours the front has moved from the Ottawa
Valley to its current location over the Adirondacks, and over the
next 12 hours it will finally shift east of the Connecticut River
Valley. Current radar imagery shows showers are once again
blossoming across southeastern Vermont, and precipitation is
expected to continue to shift northeastward through portions of
eastern Vermont through the day before finally tapering off this
evening towards midnight. Additional QPF is expected to range from a
tenth to a third of an inch, and when combined with the 0.1-.3" that
fell yesterday across the same area, we should see rises begin today
across area waterways. Flooding is still not currently expected on
any mainstem rivers, but some southern rivers such as Otter Creek
may approach bankfull.

For tonight, showers taper off by midnight with guidance coming into
consensus that the aforementioned front will be east of the region
keeping a coastal low and associated precip away. Colder temps
filter back into the region behind the front, though min temps will
still be slightly warmer than normal in the mid 20s west to low 30s
east. Finally for Friday, dry conditions are expected, along with
increasing breaks of sun from west to east through the day, but
winds are expected to increase markedly from late-morning through
the remainder of the day as a modest 25-45kt 925-850mb jet develops
over the region, and forecast soundings show steepening low level
lapse rates and good mixing. The potential exists for gusts of 30-40
mph across the region. Highs Friday will be seasonal in the 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 413 AM EDT Thursday...Friday night will be mainly dry, though
will have some clouds associated with shortwave energy passing
overhead. Have held onto slight chance for snow showers in the
higher elevations of the Adirondacks and Greens. Temperatures will
cool into the 20s overnight with some 30 degree readings in the
Champlain and St Lawrence valleys. Winds will remain brisk out of
the northwest. Even drier weather is expected for Saturday as highs
will reach the 40s areawide with upper level ridging and weak
surfacing ridging building into our forecast area. Will also have
increasing sunshine as some drier air moves into the area. Winds
will remain out of the northwest but not as strong as Friday and
Friday night. Temperatures will be close to seasonal normals through
the period.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 413 AM EDT Thursday...Chance for light rain or snow showers
will return for Saturday night into Sunday as a weak area of
shortwave energy clips by to the north. Sunday night through Monday
night will be quiet overall with seasonable temperatures. The rest
of the week`s weather will be dominated by a large scale low
pressure system moving from the Great Lakes region eastward. Still a
lot of uncertainty associated with this system as far as the track
of the low and whether or not a secondary low forms off the New
England coast. This all will have an impact on what type of
precipitation we will be seeing and also how much. Based on 00z
model guidance, it looks like precipitation will start by Tuesday
afternoon with warm air advection across our area. Precipitation
will continue through at least Thursday as low very slowly makes
it`s way across New England. Too early to mention mixed
precipitation, but we`ll have to monitor for that potential as we
get closer to the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 12Z Friday...Variable conditions will be seen across
the region through mid-morning with LIFR fog and stratus
persisting at KEFK/KMPV/KRUT, while MVFR continues at KSLK, and
VFR at KBTV/KPBG/KMSS. Conditions slowly improve through the
day with LIFR lifting to IFR/MVFR at KEFK/KMPV/KRUT and MVFR
lifting to VFR by late afternoon at KSLK. Winds will be light
and variable through mid-morning, turning WSW this afternoon
and increasing to 4-8kts.

Outlook...

Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Lahiff


 
 
Current Radar Loop:

Copyright © WestfordWeather.net 2007-2024. All rights reserved.