31.0°F
Current conditions from King Hill
Updated every 5 minutes
 
  Thursday December 18, 2014

 

NWS Area Forecast Discussion


Current Report   Previous reports > 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS61 KBTV 181149
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
649 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NORTHWEST FLOW SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS SURFACE LOW
REMAINS OVER CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE AREA FRIDAY AND WILL PROVIDE CLEAR AND DRY WEATHER TO THE
REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 630 AM EST THURSDAY...SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS
OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY FROM DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
FOR UPSLOPE NORTHWEST FLOW SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE TODAY. NOT
EXPECTING SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS...THOUGH THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WILL SEE AN ADDITIONAL
2-4" OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN SEASONAL NORMALS...MAINLY LOWER TO MID 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 404 AM EST THURSDAY...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY PULL
EASTWARD AND AWAY FROM OUR FORECAST AREA. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS
WILL END OVERNIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO RIDGE INTO
THE AREA. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FROM FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. STILL SOME LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH CONTINUED
NORTHWEST FLOW...THEREFORE CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY. STILL THINKING THERE WILL BE SOME DOWNSLOPE CLEARING IN
THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...HAVE TRIED TO DEPICT THIS IN THE GRIDS AND
ZONES. LOWER LEVELS FINALLY DRY UP A BIT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY AND A CLEAR COLD NIGHT IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT. FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY WILL FEATURE TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL
NORMALS...MID TO UPPER 20S FRIDAY... TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS FRIDAY
NIGHT...AND UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S ON SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 350 AM EST THURSDAY...GENERAL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. HOWEVER...A DISTURBANCE IN
THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND A LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW
SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY WHEN MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S AND
LOWER 30S WITH MIN TEMPS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHTS RANGING FROM
THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S. RIDGING ALOFT PUTS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WARM ADVECTION
COMBINED WITH A SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL RESULT IN LOTS OF
CLOUDS AND CHANCE FEW SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY
WHEN MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 30S. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE
FURTHER TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. DEEP UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS
OVER THE MIDWEST. SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF ENERGY ROUNDING BASE OF
THIS TROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN DEVELOPMENT OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER MID ATLANTIC STATES. THIS LOW EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND
BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE NORTH COUNTRY WEDNESDAY...WITH
FORECAST AREA EXPECTED TO BE IN WARM SECTOR. DEPENDING ON EXACT
TRACK AND STRENGTH OF LOW...STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO BE A CONCERN.
PRECIP TRANSITIONS TO SNOW SHOWERS BY CHRISTMAS DAY AS DEEP LOW
LIFTS NORTH INTO CANADA AND COLDER AIR RETURNS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...A MIX OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS
AND PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOIST
NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW TODAY INTO TONIGHT WILL BRING PERIODS OF
SNOW SHOWERS TO THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
MPV/SLK WILL BE MOST AFFECTED WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH TONIGHT. GREATEST CHANCES AT BTV THROUGH 18Z AND
MSS/PBG/RUT THROUGH ABOUT 15Z...WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT LIKELY AT
THESE SITES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISH
WHILE CEILINGS REMAIN MVFR. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE 10 KNOTS OR
LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST.

OUTLOOK 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

12Z FRI-00Z SAT...SOME MVFR IN SNOW SHOWERS AT MPV/SLK BUT
ELSEWHERE EXPECT IMPROVEMENT TO VFR.

00Z SAT-00Z TUE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
INCREASING THREAT OF PRECIPITATION LATE MONDAY.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS



 
 
Current Radar Loop:

Copyright © WestfordWeather.net 2007-2014. All rights reserved.